My pitch: Beltre is nearing a return, and he has similar value to Upton. Reed is going to win the Astro 1B job over Gurriel before long. I have depth at 3B, and Upton would be more valuable to me as an OFer. I think this gives you similar 2017 value, plus future value if Reed is as good as I think he will be. Salaries are a wash.